My meanderings about politics, LGBTQI COMMUNITY, space exploration, cars, cats, tech things and whatever else strikes my fancy. To the current occupant of the White House, we will not be taken into war on anyone's leash.
With a little bit more than five weeks before the election we are seeing things coming together for Hillary Clinton. October is looming honest and there’s always the chance for an October surprise. I think that this election cycle has been so surprised then unless it is a major event we are coasting to a Hillary Clinton win. Even Saturday Night Live said exactly that.
The numbers are staggering. When I heard that Sheldon Adelson was only going to be giving 4 million dollars to the Trump campaign this cycle I knew that things were not rosie with the Republican Jewish donor base. In 2012 those who identified as Jewish gave 29% of their donations to Mitt Romney. So far this year Donald Trump has only gotten 4% of those donations. His rhetoric is 2 scary to those of us who are Jewish. What people don’t understand is that once you hate a group and make them the scapegoats it’s easy to add more groups. Donald Trump is getting what he deserves
I guess today is going to be my day for polls. But this is a different poll this is a poll by fivethirtyeight.com. it not only looks at who is in the lead but also How likely states are going to switch because in the end it’s the Electoral College stupid. So the map that I’ve attached shows you the United States based on population and degree that they favored red or blue and I think it’s going to be pretty clear to you how this thing is going to go. As always this is early in the election cycle we have four months before the election and 2 political conventions but 538 that Hillary has an 81% chance of winning the election in November. Let’s make sure it stays that way
Fivethirtyeight.com and Nate Silver have an analysis that says that it is possible that the Democrats regain control of the house. Wow, no more Paul Ryan yay. But seriously it’s a tough battle ahead and it seems that Democrats and progressives have all moved into large urban areas and are not challenging Congressional Republicans in their districts. I for one live in a democratic stronghold and I know that my vote in November will be somewhat wasted. But it doesn’t mean that I’m not going to vote and donate as much as I possibly can. This is doable people so let’s do it. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-house-majority-is-safe-right/
The first time I run for this was when I was in the high school Houston Texas. I ran for homeroom president and I lost. I did not blame the system because it was a case of more people voting for someone else. Luckily I learn from my lessons and ran again many times in junior high school and high school and won. 2 NE Bernie Sanders supporters who may be reading this please look at the numbers. Hillary has won more pledged delegates. Hillary has won more votes. Even in places where you claimed that the system was rigged for example in Washington State the system was rigged for Bernie Sanders and not for Hillary Clinton. Bernie Sanders want a caucus where about 23000 people showed up. Yes he won by a large percentage. But when the people and again I believe this is a country for the people and run by the people comma in a primary which was nothing but hey beauty contest Hillary Clinton 1. So let’s all put this to rest and realized that are real pho is not each other but Donald Trump and what he could do to our country in 4 years. I’m not saying it’s going to take us back to the Stone Age but he will roll back so many of the important things like climate change initiatives, women’s rights, LGBT rights, immigrant rights and religious freedom in our country. And that’s just to name a few. Let’s make unite blue something that really means a force to defeat Donald Trump. Nate silver and his fivethirtyeight.com says that Hillary has a 98% chance of winning the California primary comma let’s make that a hundred percent with the help of all the engaged Bernie Sanders supporters. AVB http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-system-isnt-rigged-against-sanders/