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The following is from marketwatch.com:

In prediction markets, traders bet on the outcome of events. The markets have, as the New York Times has written, a much better record than polls of pointing to the eventual nominee of a party.

Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, is still seen as the candidate who wins the 2016 election. The former first lady, a Democrat, draws 53% on PredictWise compared with Trump’s 17%.

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Cruz gets just 4% on PredictWise for the New Hampshire primary, scheduled for Feb. 9, but stands a better chance — 15% — in South Carolina. Still, Trump is favored to win each of those primaries.

Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who is considering an independent bid for president, gets just 2% on PredictWise as the winner of the election. An early poll says there’s little difference in Bloomberg’s level of supportregardless of the nominees for the two main parties.

read more of this article at MarketWatch

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